> For the complete documentation index, see [llms.txt](https://intracloud.gitbook.io/docs/llms.txt). Markdown versions of documentation pages are available by appending `.md` to page URLs; this page is available as [Markdown](https://intracloud.gitbook.io/docs/platform/guides/prediction-rounds.md).

# Prediction Rounds Guide

This guide explains how one IntraCloud round works from open to resolution.

## Round lifecycle

1. The agent selects a candidate Uniswap pool.
2. A round opens with a fixed duration and statement.
3. Users participate on `YES` or `NO` while the round is open.
4. At round end, outcome is resolved onchain.
5. Users claim based on outcome rules.

## What users should check before participating

* Statement clarity: confirm what movement is being predicted.
* Time remaining: avoid late entries near round close.
* Side distribution: crowded sides generally reduce upside.

## Outcome behavior

* `YES` wins when the end TWAP tick is greater than start TWAP tick.
* `NO` wins when the end TWAP tick is lower than start TWAP tick.
* Round can be voided under contract conditions (for example, no opposition or flat movement).

## Payout model

IntraCloud uses side-balance-based payout logic.

* Winners share the distributable pool proportionally to their winning stake.
* Projected payout shown in the app is an estimate for the entered amount.
* Final payout always follows onchain round state.
